Search:  

 
 
   News
newer
story category 100Mbps Is a Pipe Dream
At least for the next few years...
(old news - 11:18AM Thursday Oct 11 2007)
tags: bandwidth · Verizon FIOS
Speaking at the Fiber-to-the-Home Conference in Orlando last week, Verizon's vice president of FiOS TV content strategy Terry Denson stated that very few customers are actually asking for 100Mbps service. The exec admits that while the speed sounds "sexy," it's still several years away, and at the moment, unsurprisingly, exists as a marketing metric as industry giants jostle for public attention:
Are customers asking for 100 meg? No. Very few. But it raises the ante on the competitive landscape, so that customers believe that 100 Mb/s is what they need to have. All that time, we're able to offer interactive, high-definition services, which forces the competition to make a choice: Do they want to market to broadband customers or risk losing the video customer? A hundred meg ends up being a threshold because it's sexy. I don't think customer behavior is going to get there for several years. Some outliers will demand that and maybe more. But what really drives it isn't so much consumer demand. It's competitive marketing tactics.
By "outliers" he's talking about you, our regular bandwidth-hungry readers -- if you didn't catch that. Given our recent conversations with Comcast and AT&T, it's pretty clear that operators currently think that 6-10Mbps or so is the sweet spot for the average consumer. Verizon currently offers FiOS in 10Mbps, 20Mbps and 50Mbps flavors (though not evenly across markets yet).

Related:
  1. Verizon Touts Cell Phone & FiOS Integration
  2. Pittsburgh, Verizon Haggling Over FiOS
  3. Verizon Won't 'Slavishly Satisfy' You With 100 Mbps FiOS
  4. Verizon: Metered Broadband Is Coming
  5. FiOS Deployment Slowing?
  6. Boston Wonders Where Its FiOS Is
  7. Verizon's $1.99 Phantom Fee Returns
  8. Verizon Again Hints At Metered Billing
Forums » 100Mbps Is a Pipe Dream
view: topics flat text 
Post a:
page: 1 · 2
antioch

join:2007-10-06
Pomona, CA

Different numbers here.

We offer 5/2, 15/2 and 30/5 here in So Cal.
rantou

join:2002-06-04
Richardson, TX

Re: Different numbers here.

... And at price points that are much higher than in those markets with 10/20/50 as well.

S_engineer

join:2007-05-16
Chicago, IL
·Comcast

Re: Different numbers here.

Wtf hppened to the 40 mbps service in a decade that then president Clinton promised in 1997. Tax incentives were given to all providers, and yet we're lucky to be in an elite tier with 8 mbps. This is crap...or Comcrap in my case!
You're right about the pricing to, this too was supposed to come down...yeah right.
--
Burn a tire, but make sure you buy that carbon offset!
Joe12345678

join:2003-07-22
Des Plaines, IL

Re: Different numbers here.

The same thing that happened with the Clinton health care plan.

DHRacer
Fire Survivor

join:2000-10-10
Lake Arrowhead, CA
·Charter Pipeline
·Verizon west (ex G..

The one thing we're all forgetting is how much consumer hardware doesn't even support more than 10Mbps on the WAN port (or some that say 10Mbps WAN port but can't even deliver that).

It would take a serious re-education of the greater portion of American public to tell them that 99% of their home routers will need replacing to get more than 10Mbps down. Most would probably say "f-that!", especially since stuff that is 100Mbps on the WAN side is always a bit more money (though that is slowly changing on the latest offerings).

So, no, anything above 10Mbps is definately enthusiast level, and who owns (and paid a good penny for) enthusiast level equipment to have it. We'll see 100Mbps maybe when our kids are grown and buying HSI, because only a few today see the need for more than 10 (and they're pretty much all here at DSLR). Our kids, who have grown up in the Internet age and are fully into being bandwidth consumers will drive the rollout...

--
"No one will believe you solved this problem in one day! We've been working on it for months. Now, go act busy for a few weeks and I'll let you know when it's time to tell them." (R&D Supervisor, Minnesota Mining & Manufacturing /3M Corp.)
Tikker_LoS

join:2004-04-29
Regina, SK
·SaskTel Saskatchewan

Re: Different numbers here.

I actually really agree with pretty much everything you said

for the most part, the only people who actually care about more speed are those that spend a lot of time doing p2p

joe blow probably rarely satures his 1mbps connection, let alone needs 10+ mbps
bigjimc

join:2003-04-21
Middleboro, MA

Re: Different numbers here.

How many "new" Linux ISOs can a person download in a week?

Add it up. People do not need the speed. They just want it really really badly.

Unless you are a family of 10 who each game on-line with individual VoIP phones and want to listen to your Sirius radio on-line while downloading a new linux isos.
--
Just my 2 cents...Flame Lightly...

wifi4milez
Big Russ, 1918 to 2008. Rest in Peace

join:2004-08-07
New York, NY
·Verizon FIOS
·Sprint Mobile Broa..
·RoadRunner Cable
·BroadVoice

Re: Different numbers here.

said by bigjimc See Profile :

How many "new" Linux ISOs can a person download in a week?

Add it up. People do not need the speed. They just want it really really badly.

Unless you are a family of 10 who each game on-line with individual VoIP phones and want to listen to your Sirius radio on-line while downloading a new linux isos.
Oh man thats funny! I always get a kick out of the "downloaders" who love to spout the whole "linux distro" crap as an excuse for stealing. You are correct though, nobody, not even the people on DSLR need 100Mbps home connections at this point in time. Sure I would like one, but thats about where it ends.
--
я люблю Денди!

XBL2009
------

join:2001-01-03
Chicago, IL
·AT&T Midwest

Re: Different numbers here.

said by wifi4milez See Profile :

said by bigjimc See Profile :

You are correct though, nobody, not even the people on DSLR need 100Mbps home connections at this point in time. Sure I would like one, but thats about where it ends.
Your argument is flawed, the economy is not based on what people need but what they want.

People want SUV's.
People want big houses.
People want faster computers.
People want faster internet connections.

Also when we all get 100mbps connections it means that a lot of things connected will have to be updated. Just imagine at what services will come online once 100mbps is available.
--
Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote.
Benjamin Franklin

wifi4milez
Big Russ, 1918 to 2008. Rest in Peace

join:2004-08-07
New York, NY
·Verizon FIOS
·Sprint Mobile Broa..
·RoadRunner Cable
·BroadVoice

Re: Different numbers here.

said by XBL2009 See Profile :

said by wifi4milez See Profile :

said by bigjimc See Profile :

You are correct though, nobody, not even the people on DSLR need 100Mbps home connections at this point in time. Sure I would like one, but thats about where it ends.
Your argument is flawed, the economy is not based on what people need but what they want.

People want SUV's.
People want big houses.
People want faster computers.
People want faster internet connections.

Also when we all get 100mbps connections it means that a lot of things connected will have to be updated. Just imagine at what services will come online once 100mbps is available.
Here is why your argument is flawed, its called economies of scale. People want SUV's, and because they are mass produced they can be procured for around the same price as a car. Thus there is no real difference. People want big houses, and because there are many people with enough money to buy them they are easily available. People want fast computers, and again, due to economies of scale, fast computers are relatively cheap.

Now lets explore why economies of scale do not apply to bandwidth (in the US today). People CAN buy 100Mbps connections today, in fact, almost everyone can. The problem is however, that they cost between $4000 and $20,000 per month depending on where you live. This is because the back end infrastructure necessary for mass "production" of 100Mbps connections isnt deployed. Once the telcos have spent the necessary billions (yes, billions) needed to support every customer potentially ordering a 100Mbps circuit, they will be just as common as regular DSL and cable lines. To wrap up this brief "Economics 101" lesson, the economy is certainly driven by what people want; assuming its something the market can support. If not, a separate niche market develops for those products, and the niche market is not hindered by cost at all. Hope this helps!
--
я люблю Денди!

XBL2009
------

join:2001-01-03
Chicago, IL
·AT&T Midwest

Re: Different numbers here.

said by wifi4milez See Profile :

Here is why your argument is flawed, its called economies of scale. People want SUV's, and because they are mass produced they can be procured for around the same price as a car. Thus there is no real difference. People want big houses, and because there are many people with enough money to buy them they are easily available. People want fast computers, and again, due to economies of scale, fast computers are relatively cheap.

Now lets explore why economies of scale do not apply to bandwidth (in the US today). People CAN buy 100Mbps connections today, in fact, almost everyone can. The problem is however, that they cost between $4000 and $20,000 per month depending on where you live. This is because the back end infrastructure necessary for mass "production" of 100Mbps connections isnt deployed. Once the telcos have spent the necessary billions (yes, billions) needed to support every customer potentially ordering a 100Mbps circuit, they will be just as common as regular DSL and cable lines. To wrap up this brief "Economics 101" lesson, the economy is certainly driven by what people want; assuming its something the market can support. If not, a separate niche market develops for those products, and the niche market is not hindered by cost at all. Hope this helps!
You forgot to mention that the telco's recieved $200 billion in fees and tax breaks to build a fiber network that could handle 45mbps symmetrical and 500 channels: »www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2007···683.html
--
Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote.
Benjamin Franklin

wifi4milez
Big Russ, 1918 to 2008. Rest in Peace

join:2004-08-07
New York, NY
·Verizon FIOS
·Sprint Mobile Broa..
·RoadRunner Cable
·BroadVoice

Re: Different numbers here.

said by XBL2009 See Profile :

said by wifi4milez See Profile :

Here is why your argument is flawed, its called economies of scale. People want SUV's, and because they are mass produced they can be procured for around the same price as a car. Thus there is no real difference. People want big houses, and because there are many people with enough money to buy them they are easily available. People want fast computers, and again, due to economies of scale, fast computers are relatively cheap.

Now lets explore why economies of scale do not apply to bandwidth (in the US today). People CAN buy 100Mbps connections today, in fact, almost everyone can. The problem is however, that they cost between $4000 and $20,000 per month depending on where you live. This is because the back end infrastructure necessary for mass "production" of 100Mbps connections isnt deployed. Once the telcos have spent the necessary billions (yes, billions) needed to support every customer potentially ordering a 100Mbps circuit, they will be just as common as regular DSL and cable lines. To wrap up this brief "Economics 101" lesson, the economy is certainly driven by what people want; assuming its something the market can support. If not, a separate niche market develops for those products, and the niche market is not hindered by cost at all. Hope this helps!
You forgot to mention that the telco's recieved $200 billion in fees and tax breaks to build a fiber network that could handle 45mbps symmetrical and 500 channels: »www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2007···683.html
Well, to begin with your first issue is reading/believing anything put out by Cringley. Even the staunchest of whackjobs on these forums tends to shy away from backing most of his blather. The other thing is that even if you examine the $200 billion figure, you will find that he uses "fuzzy math" to come up with it. He is considering profit (yes, profit) achieved by rate increases something that was given to the telco companies. Now lets be serious for a moment here, regardless of what side of the proverbial "fence" you sit on that is just ludicrous. Rate increases are a part of life, and they happen in every industry. To say that the profit made by said increases is "given", "received", or anything other than "earned" is just nuts. Lets examine his quote for just a minute, shall we?

said by Cringley the nutjob :

Over the decade from 1994-2004 the major telephone companies profited from higher phone rates paid by all of us, accelerated depreciation on their networks.....
Wow, so rates increased over the course of ten years and the value of assets depreciated over time?? Sounds like I should give him an economics/finance lesson too!

Do yourself a favor XBL2007, delete any bookmarks you have pointing to Cringley's site; that shit will rot your brain!
--
я люблю Денди!

XBL2009
------

join:2001-01-03
Chicago, IL
·AT&T Midwest

Re: Different numbers here.

said by wifi4milez See Profile :

said by XBL2009 See Profile :

said by wifi4milez See Profile :

Here is why your argument is flawed, its called economies of scale. People want SUV's, and because they are mass produced they can be procured for around the same price as a car. Thus there is no real difference. People want big houses, and because there are many people with enough money to buy them they are easily available. People want fast computers, and again, due to economies of scale, fast computers are relatively cheap.

Now lets explore why economies of scale do not apply to bandwidth (in the US today). People CAN buy 100Mbps connections today, in fact, almost everyone can. The problem is however, that they cost between $4000 and $20,000 per month depending on where you live. This is because the back end infrastructure necessary for mass "production" of 100Mbps connections isnt deployed. Once the telcos have spent the necessary billions (yes, billions) needed to support every customer potentially ordering a 100Mbps circuit, they will be just as common as regular DSL and cable lines. To wrap up this brief "Economics 101" lesson, the economy is certainly driven by what people want; assuming its something the market can support. If not, a separate niche market develops for those products, and the niche market is not hindered by cost at all. Hope this helps!
You forgot to mention that the telco's recieved $200 billion in fees and tax breaks to build a fiber network that could handle 45mbps symmetrical and 500 channels: »www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2007···683.html
Well, to begin with your first issue is reading/believing anything put out by Cringley. Even the staunchest of whackjobs on these forums tends to shy away from backing most of his blather. The other thing is that even if you examine the $200 billion figure, you will find that he uses "fuzzy math" to come up with it. He is considering profit (yes, profit) achieved by rate increases something that was given to the telco companies. Now lets be serious for a moment here, regardless of what side of the proverbial "fence" you sit on that is just ludicrous. Rate increases are a part of life, and they happen in every industry. To say that the profit made by said increases is "given", "received", or anything other than "earned" is just nuts. Lets examine his quote for just a minute, shall we?

said by Cringley the nutjob :

Over the decade from 1994-2004 the major telephone companies profited from higher phone rates paid by all of us, accelerated depreciation on their networks.....
Wow, so rates increased over the course of ten years and the value of assets depreciated over time?? Sounds like I should give him an economics/finance lesson too!

Do yourself a favor XBL2007, delete any bookmarks you have pointing to Cringley's site; that shit will rot your brain!
The copper network value is degrading every year is the point. Using DSL tech is only a stop gap measure and won't fix the problem. They have to replace their entire network at some point and it won't be with more copper.

PS: Since you don't like Cringley's here are other's:

»www.newnetworks.com/broadbandscandals.htm

»www.muniwireless.com/article/art···iew/5011

»www.newnetworks.com/ShortSCANDALSummary.htm

»saveaccess.org/node/288
--
Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote.
Benjamin Franklin

wifi4milez
Big Russ, 1918 to 2008. Rest in Peace

join:2004-08-07
New York, NY
·Verizon FIOS
·Sprint Mobile Broa..
·RoadRunner Cable
·BroadVoice

Re: Different numbers here.

said by XBL2009 See Profile :

The copper network value is degrading every year is the point. Using DSL tech is only a stop gap measure and won't fix the problem. They have to replace their entire network at some point and it won't be with more copper.
That is 100% correct. When the time comes and they do that however, THEN you will see higher capacity connections available to far more people. Thats my whole point, the telco's/ISP's need to spend a few billion (collectively) for 100Mbps connections to be the norm. Until then, we can all want them but they arent needed, nor will they be provided on a large scale.
--
я люблю Денди!

XBL2009
------

join:2001-01-03
Chicago, IL
·AT&T Midwest

Re: Different numbers here.

said by wifi4milez See Profile :

said by XBL2009 See Profile :

The copper network value is degrading every year is the point. Using DSL tech is only a stop gap measure and won't fix the problem. They have to replace their entire network at some point and it won't be with more copper.
That is 100% correct. When the time comes and they do that however, THEN you will see higher capacity connections available to far more people. Thats my whole point, the telco's/ISP's need to spend a few billion (collectively) for 100Mbps connections to be the norm. Until then, we can all want them but they arent needed, nor will they be provided on a large scale.
What will happen is they will offer 10mbps with caps and milk it for the next 50 years. The FCC being the telco bitch that they are will let them get away with it.

Then finally in the year 2050 the usa will have 100mbps service....of course the rest of the world will be using gigabit connections and laughing at us.
--
Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote.
Benjamin Franklin

gogeta6

join:2002-06-20
San Diego, CA
clubs:

People like instant gratification (or as close to it as possible)

It's pretty nice on a 100mbit connection to have the next image dl while one is burning.

Could get 99% of stuff done on dual isdn, but wouldn't be able to multitask much.
voyager6868

join:2003-01-29
Lynnwood, WA
·Bell Sympatico

I love the shortsighted people on this site.

What if a company wants to sell me an HDDVD or BluRay disc over the net? Do I really want to wait a day for it to download? Or would I prefer to have it stream and I can watch it in real-time?

Let's say I'm at the office and want to see what's going on in my house. I can wire up 10 different HD cameras and stream it to my office. Or maybe I want to view live feeds from other people's houses or stream my feed to 100 other people.

If you open your mind a bit, you'll see that once people have 100Mbit connections, they will find lots of interesting uses for them--many of which are legal.
Tikker_LoS

join:2004-04-29
Regina, SK

Re: Different numbers here.

not disagreeing that there's a ton of cool stuff you could do with a huge pipe available

what I'm saying is that the average person doesn't even think of that stuff, so there's not widespread demand for more bandwidth
Ahrenl

join:2004-10-26
North Andover, MA
·Verizon FIOS

Well, since many ISP's integrate a router with the modem now, that probably won't be an issue. Also, considering on most days you can get a router for free (after rebates) I don't think someone spending $50-$100's on their service is going to blink at it.

The only reason any level of bandwidth above that which is current available is not used yet, is obvious. Just re-read that argument. "No one uses X-Level of bandwidth (which is greater than what is currently available) now, so they won't in the future." It's some of the most rediculous logic I've seen outside the political arena.

DHRacer
Fire Survivor

join:2000-10-10
Lake Arrowhead, CA
·Charter Pipeline
·Verizon west (ex G..

Re: Different numbers here.

I have 10/1 right now. I can only see 10 down from a very local server. Anything beyond "local" and I might as well have the 3Mbps package, at best.

How is offering 100Mbps to a customer going to change any of that? Wait...faster?

We seem to be forgetting that the other side needs to be able to serve at this speed for us to see this speed. If we all have OC-3 lines but the servers only put out at T1 levels, then we are arguing about whether we should get 100Mbps for nothing.

--
"No one will believe you solved this problem in one day! We've been working on it for months. Now, go act busy for a few weeks and I'll let you know when it's time to tell them." (R&D Supervisor, Minnesota Mining & Manufacturing /3M Corp.)
Ahrenl

join:2004-10-26
North Andover, MA

Re: Different numbers here.

If we ALL have OC-3 lines, then it stands to reason the servers (being inclusive in "ALL") have them as well. It's the same argument..

XBL2009
------

join:2001-01-03
Chicago, IL
·AT&T Midwest

said by DHRacer See Profile :

The one thing we're all forgetting is how much consumer hardware doesn't even support more than 10Mbps on the WAN port (or some that say 10Mbps WAN port but can't even deliver that).

It would take a serious re-education of the greater portion of American public to tell them that 99% of their home routers will need replacing to get more than 10Mbps down. Most would probably say "f-that!", especially since stuff that is 100Mbps on the WAN side is always a bit more money (though that is slowly changing on the latest offerings).

So, no, anything above 10Mbps is definately enthusiast level, and who owns (and paid a good penny for) enthusiast level equipment to have it. We'll see 100Mbps maybe when our kids are grown and buying HSI, because only a few today see the need for more than 10 (and they're pretty much all here at DSLR). Our kids, who have grown up in the Internet age and are fully into being bandwidth consumers will drive the rollout...
Like a $40 router will stop people from getting 100mbps internet. If 100mbps was available then the market would have a ton of routers for people to use.

Let's see we have gone from b to g to super g to n I think people would upgrade again if necessary.
--
Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote.
Benjamin Franklin
fiberguy
My views are my own.
Premium
join:2005-05-20

Re: Different numbers here.

I've been in enough homes to know that G routers haven't flown off the shelf to replace the B routers. Many who have G routers do so because they were available when they purchased them...

People here need to stop thinking that the whole world does what the very VERY small group of people here do. This site is FAR from a representation of what the rest of the country is doing.
--
"Complaining is the least path of resistance for the self-serving, the lazy, and I’m told it’s a woman’s prerogative..."

XBL2009
------

join:2001-01-03
Chicago, IL
·AT&T Midwest

Re: Different numbers here.

Since you can't get more then 10 megabits from any ISP what's the point of going beyond a b router?

I personally still have a b wireless router and a 1 Gbps wired router. I move large files with the wired router and surf with the b router.

However if the need arose to upgrade the b router for faster internet speeds I would and so would everyone else.

PS: Most homes I go into have the modem attached directly to the DSL or Cable modem and don't have a router at all.
--
Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote.
Benjamin Franklin
Ahrenl

join:2004-10-26
North Andover, MA

Re: Different numbers here.

That and the cost of the router is a very small percentage of the annual cost of the service.

It won't be an issue for people who want the service.
Tikker_LoS

join:2004-04-29
Regina, SK
·SaskTel Saskatchewan

said by XBL2009 See Profile :

Since you can't get more then 10 megabits from any ISP what's the point of going beyond a b router?
well, you don't get anywhere near 10 mbps thru a b router
fiberguy
My views are my own.
Premium
join:2005-05-20

Personally, I have a G router for wireless because I run an actual network in the home so I get a higher transfer rate between other computers while wireless. Also, you now have more and more ISPs pushing beyond the 10mb. But, you are right.. in most cases, the average consumer is fine with B right now.

The ONLY other reason I can see G being an advantage is that they do tend to get a better signal pushed on further distances over B.. again, still rare.
--
"Complaining is the least path of resistance for the self-serving, the lazy, and I’m told it’s a woman’s prerogative..."
mdembski

join:2001-04-04
Washington, DC

speed vs latency

I would much rather that they improve the latency than give me more speed

AmnChode
Premium
join:2001-03-27
San Antonio, TX

Re: speed vs latency

My latency is fine....I would rather have some more upstream myself...
subman87
Another day in the Brentwood

join:2000-11-24
Harrison, NY

Totally agree.
reelbigfish

join:2002-06-06
Boston, MA

Re: speed vs latency

I agree with the comment for more upload. I need to upload some stuff at about 200Megs. 384Kbps is just pathetic.

dadkins
Can you do Blu?
Premium,MVM
join:2003-09-26
Hercules, CA
·Comcast

Re: speed vs latency

said by reelbigfish See Profile :

I agree with the comment for more upload. I need to upload some stuff at about 200Megs. 384Kbps is just pathetic.
Try ~10GB images @ 768k(724 nominal).
Remember too, while the upsream is maxed, forget about anything else.

Currently, I have to snailmail a few DVDs every so often.
Uploading is not happening!
--
Think outside the Fox... Opera

53059959
Temp banned from BBR more then anyone

join:2002-10-02
PwnZone

said by mdembski See Profile :

I would much rather that they improve the latency than give me more speed
I agree with you there mdembski. I would gladly drop any connection on the market for 256k/256k as long as it was over fiber optic and had reasonably good peering. my ping would by OMFGH4X
openbox9

join:2004-01-26
Alexandria, VA
·AT&T Southeast

Re: speed vs latency

said by 53059959 See Profile :

I would gladly drop any connection on the market for 256k/256k as long as it was over fiber optic and had reasonably good peering.
What does fiber have to do with that? Stop drinking the Kool-Aid. It's not the transport media that gives you low latency (or even throughput for that matter), it's the devices connected to each end of that transport media that gives you what you want.

C0deZer0
Oc'D To Rhythm And Police
Premium
join:2001-10-03
Davenport, FL
·Verizon FIOS

A lot of the latency issue can be improved if there was more upload speed on average.

A higher amount of upload throughput means that part of the pipe isn't saturated trying to accommodate tasks, and you'll be able to "multitask online" a lot more.

aaronwt
Premium
join:2004-11-07
Woodbridge, VA
·Verizon FIOS


1 edit

30/5 for $55 here

I have the 30/5 tier here in Northern Virginia for $55. The 20/5 tier is only $50 so the extra $5 is worth it. The only bad thing is you can't get a bundle with the 30/5 tier and you can only get a 1 year agreement for that price. But it is nice and fast. And the latency is low as well. At least it's consistent with what I also get with my Comcast connection.

TKJunkMail
Enjoy the sun
Premium
join:2002-03-03
Avalon, NJ
·Sprint Mobile Broa..
·Comcast

BBR visitors are ouliers and not the mainstream users

The same people today who say they NEED 100 mbps will be the same ones who need 1 gbps the second they would get 100 mbps. And they represent .001% of all users.
--
--
Internet News
My BLOG
My Web Page

See 23 replies to this post
nasadude

join:2001-10-05
Rockville, MD
·Comcast

50th in the world, here we come

I wonder if the U.S. will ever get to 100Mbps. Typically, if the bandwidth is provided, people and companies will figure out new ways to use it. Japan and S.Korea don't seem to have any trouble finding applications that use 100Mbps.

If the telcos don't want to provide it, they won't. And there is nothing that can be done about it with the current state of the industry.

so, the U.S. will continue to fall behind the broadband leaders in the world, with all that implies from a technological and financial standpoint.

If fast, inexpensive, ubiquitous broadband had been pursued as diligently as the Iraq war by this administration, we would probably already be at 1Gbps broadband. Instead, all we got was this lousy war.

See 6 replies to this post

morbo
Complete Your Transaction

join:2002-01-22
00000
clubs:
·Charter Pipeline
·AT&T Southwest

vz: offer 100bps, watch cable wilt under the pressure


if they have the capacity, they should at least offer it as a package. sure, it will be freaking expensive at first. but is there any cable package that would even come close? plus the additional strain it would put on the cable system = win win.

think like this vz: get the geeks on your side. they recommend services and companies to many others. all the regular folk ask for their advice. who will they recommend?

DaveNJ
No Fear

join:1999-09-01
New Jersey

Up speed is never a consideration

Why is always down-speed the issue. I could never use 100m, just give me 10/10.

N O Y B
St. John 3.16

join:2005-12-15
Forest Grove, OR

Re: Up speed is never a consideration

said by DaveNJ See Profile :

Why is always down-speed the issue. I could never use 100m, just give me 10/10.
Ditto!

Very, very few C O N S U M E R S can or even would make use of any more. Do a speed test to location on other side of country from you and see if you can max out your current bandwidth.

So other than the few who do things like multiple streams at same time (from different sources), it really is a nit-picky issue.

Bump the 5/2 up to 10/5 would be nice.

huntermcdole
Premium
join:2005-08-01
Tucson, AZ
I can see it now.. 100mb/14.4kb all the download speed you could ever want...
bmn
? ? ?
Premium,ExMod 2003-06
join:2001-03-15
hiatus

said by DaveNJ See Profile :

Why is always down-speed the issue. I could never use 100m, just give me 10/10.
Right on... I would be perfectly happy for a long time with a symmetric 10Mbps/10Mbps service. The offsite backups I run from my home office would be done in minutes, not days.
--
Prove it...
Save the Internet Time (NTP) service, use the pool.
axus

join:2001-06-18
Washington, DC
·Verizon Online DSL

heh

I'm not bandwidth hungry, though I'd like to get to a point where I can run my own servers at home instead of needing a webhost. I really just want to get back to the days when I had 10mbit up, 10mbit down, and no restrictions besides obeying the law.
Sammer

join:2005-12-22
Canonsburg, PA

10 years ago outliers would have been happy with

the "sweet spot" of 6Mbs to 10Mbs. While it's true that the average consumer doesn't need more than the stated "sweet spot" today technology never stops moving. IMHO that 6Mbs to 10Mbs will be an obsolete "sweet spot" in 3 to 5 years and replaced by something closer to 20Mbs. Add HDTV and it's more like 40Mbs.

N O Y B
St. John 3.16

join:2005-12-15
Forest Grove, OR

Re: 10 years ago outliers would have been happy with

said by Sammer See Profile :

Add HDTV and it's more like 40Mbs.
HDTV will be figured seperately from 'data circuit' will it not.
Sammer

join:2005-12-22
Canonsburg, PA

Re: 10 years ago outliers would have been happy with

Competitive IPTV services will depend on how much net neutrality there is.

koitsu
Premium
join:2002-07-16
Mountain View, CA


1 edit

Bizarre trend.

In the past 3 days or so, I've seen 3 different news posts here at BBR covering 3 different companies all saying the same thing:

"Are customers asking for 100 meg? No." - Verizon
"These speeds are what customers want for today's Internet applications." - Comcast
"... for the vast majority of our customers, our current offerings have been more than sufficient for their needs." - AT&T U-Verse

Am I the only one noticing this? The timing is a bit suspect. Three different companies all saying the same thing? Yeah.

To Verizon, Comcast, and AT&T -- thanks for telling me what I'm asking for, and what my needs are. If you'd like, go right ahead and tell me how I feel about all of that, too.
--
Making life hard for others since 1977.
I speak for myself and not my employer/affiliates of my employer.

jnc2000
Premium
join:2003-08-05
Akron, OH

Its out there

4/2 from TW will run you 170 a month.

TWC NEO also offers 6/2, 8/1.5, 8/2, 10/2, even 15/2

Its out there... but its costly.

anon101

@verizon.com

Re: Its out there

100m Doesn't matter if the server your getting the info from is only willing to give 7meg.

LOLer

@verizon.net

OMG come on USA

S.Korea already has bunch of 100Mbps services, and Hong Kong is getting started. Korea just announced today that they finished developing 4th generation 3.6 Gbps wireless modem FFS!

They pay whole lot more for hamburgers and clothes than USA, but they pay WHOLE LOT LESS for their super-fast internet. You're saying that USA is far, so far behind to Asia and Europe now?? Do you seriously believe that?

The real fact is that USA companies are just way more greedier than them that's all.

I want 100 Mbps, no at least 20 Mpbs!!!!
Come on!!!!
pug_ster

join:2007-04-25
Brooklyn, NY

Re: OMG come on USA

The problem with the ISP's out there is that you are lucky if you have a choice between 2 high speed providers. They have little incentive between charging you $50 for a 100mb speed when they can give a 'speedy' 10mb speed for the same price. Both cable and FIOS can easily give you 100mb speed, but they do not want to implemented it.
tdar

join:2004-04-05
Satellite Beach, FL

Simply put ....

Simply put ....the telco's have realized that on high end users like us that bandwidth is a vacuum...if they give us 50 megs- we will want 100....if they give us 100 we will want 1gig....and we will not be willing to pay for it at a proportionate rate....the rest of the users do not care and we don't have any other forces pushing them to go faster say government, so we'll just set here UNTIL they figure out how THEY can profit off of selling us more speed.
torchsonghq

join:2002-11-23
Everett, WA

USA FFS...

S.Korea already has bunch of 100Mbps services, and Hong Kong is getting started. Korea just announced today that they finished testing the 4th generation 3.6 Gbps wireless modem FFS!

They pay whole lot more for hamburgers and clothes than USA, but they pay WHOLE LOT LESS for their super-fast internet. You're saying that USA is far, so far behind to Asia and Europe now?? Do you seriously believe that?

The real fact is that USA companies are just way more greedier than them that's all.

I want 100 Mbps, no at least 20 Mpbs!!!!
Come on!!!!

Richard B
Fur It Up

join:2007-06-22
Portland, OR
·Comcast


1 edit

Sounds right to me

I wonder what brought this on? I am curious about FIOS number the number of nodes that are available but the owner chooses not to subscribe. Recently I read about the number of new broadband customers are leveling off. I feel 100Mbs broadband is possible but not very practical or efficient. Right now it only takes me three minute to download four 12Mb podcast a day using Comcast 6Mb plus blast. I do not need to spend more of my money or desire the cable company to spend billions so I can download the same files in 1 second.
tmc8080

join:2004-04-24
Floral Park, NY

Soon..

Asking for 100mbits is not the issue; the market forces show a sweet spot between 10-50mbits given the price for unlimited internet access. With some DSL & CABLE internet @ below 1mbits across the country, 100mbits is surely a pipe dream mainly due to infrastructure. Verizon will not spend on GPON upgrades until their competitors start taking business away from them.
Unfortunately, asking Verizon for speed increases are worse than pulling teeth, historically.

Consumers won't spend more than $80 for 50 mbits, much less 100mbits. Upstream needs to be more symmetric, minimum 4:1, preferably 1:1

brandon
Some truth included in this post.
Premium
join:2003-03-31
Hurley, MS

I guess I'm in the minority

I'm honestly satisfied with 3mbps!

wolfox
Gentle Wolfox

join:2002-11-27
Dunnellon, FL

You will find...

Many telcos will bend over backwards at your request for networking needs. The problem is, as average Joe, non-commercial/corporate entity dude - the prices are insane!
I can have 100mb/sec, hell I could have multi-gb/sec but the conversation often goes like this:

Me: Hi! I need bandwidth.

Telco: No problem sir, that is what we are here to do. What flavor would you like, and any extra sprinkles on top too?

Me: Oh, 10mb symmetrical would do me just fine. Got something like that? Oh, and my old copper CSU/DSU from my defunct fractional is dead, I'll need totally new CPE kit.

Telco: No problem at all sir, we can install this week. Now there is a matter of installation and building that out to you sir, there is currently no active digital/fiber line in your area. We'll have to bridge something from the industrial park a block over.

Me: Oh? Is that going to delay things considerably?

Telco: Not at all, here, let me get an initial mock up of a price schedule for you and a service agreement contract...

Me: (waits a while)

Telco: Okay sir, all set. It will cost $5,000 to span the fiber to your home and install an optical-copper transceiver. After that, it's $400/month to keep the fiber lit - but we guarantee up-times in excess of 99.999% in a year....sir? Sir?!

Me: (On the floor, faint.)

You can order an OC trunk line for all they care and pipe it right up through your side window if you declared it as being a pre-requisite, but they will NOT touch it or move one INCH unless you front the cash. You, me - unless you are Bill Gates, will not be receiving 108mb/sec downstream on an 802.11A equipped tablet while sitting on he john and only occupying an infinitesimal portion of your downstream.
--
The RIAA killed my legal webcast. Sadly it will never be mourned...
patcat88

join:2002-04-05
Jamaica, NY

Re: You will find...

said by wolfox See Profile :

Telco: Okay sir, all set. It will cost $5,000 to span the fiber to your home and install an optical-copper transceiver. After that, it's $400/month to keep the fiber lit - but we guarantee up-times in excess of 99.999% in a year....sir? Sir?!

Me: (On the floor, faint.)

You can order an OC trunk line for all they care and pipe it right up through your side window if you declared it as being a pre-requisite, but they will NOT touch it or move one INCH unless you front the cash. You, me - unless you are Bill Gates, will not be receiving 108mb/sec downstream on an 802.11A equipped tablet while sitting on he john and only occupying an infinitesimal portion of your downstream.
Small businesses can't afford this. Look at Cablevision's offerings, $65 for 30/5, $25 more for 5 statics. Thats really really affordable. I am planing to buy 1 line for serving general surfing needs, and another for a collaboration website. Its for reliability (so server isnt affected by my maintenance on the LAN), and a little bit for speed (I hope I have speed problems ). DOCSIS 2 gives 27mbs upload per node, so its not like buying 10 modems then realizing you can never get max speed out b/c you saturated the node. Overally, Cablevision's prices are very reasonable, and very fast. Sadly their dedicated fiber product (Lightspeed) starts at $1000 for 10mbs symmetric. But compared to the equivalent in T1s and T3s its very cheap.
alchav

join:2002-05-17
Palm Desert, CA
·Pacific Bell - SBC

Most People don't have a Clue on what they Need or Want!

I keep saying, Verizon FiOS is way ahead of it's time. Even the people on BBR see speed and capacity only in relation to Internet Access. The future of FTTH will mean so much more. I'm sure even at Verizon only a hand full of people know and understand what FiOS is capable of doing. People have to see a need before they want something.

wolfox
Gentle Wolfox

join:2002-11-27
Dunnellon, FL

Re: Most People don't have a Clue on what they Need or Want!

Imagine the fun to be had on FiOS network when a peer you play against is in the same network...or a group of them? Fire up your killer network game app, someone put up the Ventrilo server and bolt the PC down! Peering applications would ROCK. Few and rare are the WWW sites I hit in a day that can sustain my meager 6mb/sec downstream. I need more of a back-haul and upload rate for the particular work I do, the place I work at residing very close to my DSL network, being a few hops away. Said imagined 10mb symmetrical from a local provider would be absolutely killer to have for this, let alone FiOS speeds or Full duplex 100mb Ethernet-like service for that matter. But I can see the points of others too - we hit 100mb/sec and then we will be screaming and whinging for multi-mode Gb fiber. Bets anyone? Bets? I know my nature, I would be all over the phone to the telco pressuring them for mine!
--
The RIAA killed my legal webcast. Sadly it will never be mourned...

Rick
Premium,MVM
join:2001-02-06
Waterbury, CT
clubs:

I think they're all lying through their teeth

when it comes to HSI speed, and where they see the demand in the future.

And, each ISP has their own reasons for doing so.

Let's take AT&T first...
Of COURSE they're saying that what is being offered is enough because..they don't have any more to give customers even if they wanted it. What do you expect them to say..Uverse sucks and is already old technology? Well, it does..and it is...as far as I'm concerned.

Verizon...
Well, if they REALLY don't think that speed is all that important..why the HE** are they spending 25 Billion bucks to be able to give it to their constituents? The simple answer is..they KNOW it's important and they're already rolling out the 30Mb + tiers.

Comcast..
Again..if speed REALLY isn't important in their minds and 6 to 8Mb is "enough" for consumers..why docsis 3.0? Why the demo's of 100Mb + tiers by CEO Roberts? Why the powerboost?
Why the slowsky commercials?

Why..why..WHY??

Because they KNOW it's important..and they KNOW they want to get Docsis 3.0 out next year..and they KNOW that the competitive landscape is going to be all about SPEED and nothing but the Speed..so help you..God.

You know..people try to rationalize this and the truth of the matter is..maybe it makes little sense to some.
But..so too did what happened with the computer industry and the never ending qwest for what? More SPEED.
Wasn't a pentium 850Mhz plenty enough for what many people do with computers? Of course. How many of those do you still see for sale though?
The industry latched on to the speed race..and here we are today..at core 2 and quad computing..for the average homeowner.

Do you REALLY think that the HSI speed race is just going to die right here?

Not on your life...and don't believe for a single minute that Comcast..Verizon..or AT&T..really believes that either.
--
The Coyote captured the RR! Roadrunner Rick is now Comcastic!
Forums » 100Mbps Is a Pipe Dreampage: 1 · 2


Saturday, 28-Nov 21:43:59 Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | Hosting by www.nac.net - DSL,Hosting & Co-lo | feedback | contact
over 10 years online! © 1999-2009 dslreports.com.