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ricep5
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Internet Pearl Harbor

There have been several technology Pearl Harbor's in our time....

- Sputnik
- 1973 Energy Crisis

Just to name a couple.....

But we responded in a competitive fashion once it was discovered.

- Man on the Moon
- Fuel price deregulation

I don't think its a flaw of the US to take a wait and see on IPv6, its just human nature to wait when the benefit isn't obvious.

Perhaps the Chinese will discover a use we can't seem to fathom. I think they like it for the amount of control and management it provides.


TKJunkMail
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said by ricep5 See Profile :

There have been several technology Pearl Harbor's in our time....

- Sputnik
- 1973 Energy Crisis

Just to name a couple.....

But we responded in a competitive fashion once it was discovered.

- Man on the Moon
- Fuel price deregulation

I don't think its a flaw of the US to take a wait and see on IPv6, its just human nature to wait when the benefit isn't obvious.

Perhaps the Chinese will discover a use we can't seem to fathom. I think they like it for the amount of control and management it provides.
There is a definite advantage to NOT being first. The first gets to spend enormous amounts of money debugging all the problems. And those coming in later(but not a whole lot later) get to more efficiently roll out the new technology at a much lower cost.
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KrK
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said by TKJunkMail See Profile :

There is a definite advantage to NOT being first. The first gets to spend enormous amounts of money debugging all the problems. And those coming in later(but not a whole lot later) get to more efficiently roll out the new technology at a much lower cost.
This is in fact true. The late comers also usually benefit from deploying refined or improved versions, while the initial deployers are stuck with older versions....

However, there are also several advantages to pioneering the technology--- as in, your way becomes the standard that then others have to follow to use the system. A case in point is the Air Traffic control system. The USA pioneered passenger air travel and the Airlines. As a result, to this day, English is the language that has to be used internationally by pilots for Air traffic control communications.
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ricep5
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reply to TKJunkMail
said by TKJunkMail See Profile :

There is a definite advantage to NOT being first. The first gets to spend enormous amounts of money debugging all the problems. And those coming in later(but not a whole lot later) get to more efficiently roll out the new technology at a much lower cost.
Agreed.

AMPS cell phone technology comes to mind.

GSM/TDMA/CDMA all rolled out more effectively due to the hurdles AMPS faced and cleared.


nonnameme



And there is a lot lost too. They will learn a lot by deploying this technology first. The knowledge will be used to capitalize in other areas and they will also be recognized as the LEADERS that others will pay for a seek out for aide in not just this but in other areas too.


jstme

I predict in 10 years from now 25% maybe more Americans only option will still be dial up.


jap
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reply to TKJunkMail
said by TKJunkMail See Profile :

There is a definite advantage to NOT being first. The first gets to spend enormous amounts of money debugging all the problems. And those coming in later(but not a whole lot later) get to more efficiently roll out the new technology at a much lower cost.
Within a particular technology adoption, sure, but it's not a zero-sum game. Arriving at a capability first has potentially huge ripple benefits and costs that can be, but aren't always, difficult to assess. I don't think it's accurate to suggest the US has made these assessments and chosen to hold-off. We've a chaotic mess of overlapping yet fragmented & competing commercial networks is the problem - many with companion business entities dependent on the same infrastructure. Add that to the US's huge expanses of low density population and it's a forking horror show of inefficiency.


phattieg

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reply to jstme
said by jstme :

I predict in 10 years from now 25% maybe more Americans only option will still be dial up.
Considering people still "rent" their home phone, I don't doubt your figures...
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