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Forums » Virtual Desktops as a Broadband Service » Long Time Coming...
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Ain't gonna happen! »
« Security and privacy issues abound.  
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Tzale
Proud Libertarian Conservative
Premium
join:2004-01-06
Sweden
·Verizon FIOS
·Optimum Online


1 edit
 Long Time Coming...

This is the future of computing IMHO.... I have been saying this for years.... We're slowly migrating back to large super computers that will provide service to hundreds or thousands of people at a time. The only people using "personal computers" will be hobbyists.

Don't get me wrong... This isn't going to take place overnight... But I think within the next decade or so we're going to start seeing a migration back to dumb terminals. Imagine an interconnected world with your mobile devices, automobiles, home "PC", tvs, work etc all using one service... I think once we hit the limits of silicon CPU technology, we're going to be forced to migrate.. It'll help reduce waste too... You could have your phone / tv / computer all in one device.

-Tzale
--
Neoconservatives (G.W.B) are not true conservatives. A conservative believes in defending the Constitution. First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. - RON PAUL 2008

TheMG

join:2007-09-04
Edmonton, AB
·TELUS

Oh I think it's going to take much longer than that, if ever. As it stands, the internet is not ready to take on the insane load that would be required to connect dumb terminals to central servers.

It made sense in the past... when terminals were pretty much text only. Nowadays there's an abundance of games and multimedia applications, and monitors of ever increasing resolutions. The amount of bandwidth required would be far beyond anything we can come by in a decade's time! We're talking billions in new and upgraded network infrastructure here.


cableties
Premium
join:2005-01-27
·Verizon FIOS

It is taking place. Adobe has Photoshop-Express online. There is more and more Webex installations and support. There are plans for Office online (Office Live). Direct printing to Kinkos and other "print" services.

Imagine the millions of users that "would" justify a subscription service to access software and features that would be out of their reach.

Then imagine the problems with that model.

It will take over a decade to convince another generation that this is cheaper and more reliable than "owning" a powerful desktop. Kinda like leasing: you can have more, for less. (but not in the longrun).
--
Weeeeeeee!


Tzale
Proud Libertarian Conservative
Premium
join:2004-01-06
Sweden
·Verizon FIOS
·Optimum Online

said by cableties See Profile :

It is taking place. Adobe has Photoshop-Express online. There is more and more Webex installations and support. There are plans for Office online (Office Live). Direct printing to Kinkos and other "print" services.

Imagine the millions of users that "would" justify a subscription service to access software and features that would be out of their reach.

Then imagine the problems with that model.

It will take over a decade to convince another generation that this is cheaper and more reliable than "owning" a powerful desktop. Kinda like leasing: you can have more, for less. (but not in the longrun).
I'll tell ya' one thing... It definitely will help reduce piracy, so I'd expect the software companies to be 100% behind this.

-Tzale
--
Neoconservatives (G.W.B) are not true conservatives. A conservative believes in defending the Constitution. First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. - RON PAUL 2008

wentlanc
You Can't Fix Dumb..

join:2003-07-30
Maineville, OH

reply to Tzale
You are half right. We have, in fact, been migrating more and more to a dumb terminal. You are using it right now. It's called a browser. But you will not lose users to networked workstations anytime soon. The main reason is lack of connectivity. If you are not online, you cannot work. This product will only appeal to a very slim portion of the users out there. And they are not a growing number of users. They are actually dwindling.

cw
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